Elections Intelligence

State of Play

Home Stretch Scoreboard

Checked 5:31 PM ET
CACACACACACACACACA
Latest callNo race called yet
U.S. House H architectural icon

U.S. House

218 seats control
426 outstanding
210 to go8
218
217 to go1
Latest callNo race called yet
U.S. Senate S architectural icon

U.S. Senate

35 outstanding
17 to go5134
19 to go5031
Strong D edgeD edgeSlight D edgeToss-upSlight R edgeR edgeStrong R edge
241
ALAZAZAZAZAZCACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACACOCOCOCOCOCOCOCTCTCTCTCTDEFLFLFLFLFLFLGAGAGAGAGAHIHIIAIAIAILILILILILILILILILILILILILILINININKSKYKYLAMAMAMAMAMAMAMAMAMAMDMDMDMDMDMDMDMEMIMIMIMIMIMIMIMIMIMNMNMNMNMNMOMOMSMTNCNCNCNCNCNCNCNCNCNCNENHNHNJNJNJNJNJNJNJNJNJNJNJNMNMNMNVNVNVNVNYNYNYNYNYNYNYNYNYNYNYNYNYNYNYNYNYNYNYNYOHOHOHOHOHORORORORORPAPAPAPAPAPAPAPAPAPARIRISCSCTNTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXUTVAVAVAVAVAVAVAVAVTWAWAWAWAWAWAWAWAWIWIWI
7
FLMONCOHOHPATX
4
ALFLOHWI
0
3
KSMNTN
26
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145
ALALALALALARARARARAZAZAZAZCACACOFLFLFLFLFLFLFLFLFLFLFLFLFLGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAIAIDIDILILILININININININKSKSKYKYKYKYLALALALAMDMEMIMIMIMNMOMOMOMOMOMSMSMSMTNCNCNCNDNENENJNYNYNYNYOHOHOHOHOHOHOHOKOKOKOKOKORPAPAPAPASCSCSCSCSDTNTNTNTNTNTNTNTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXTXUTUTUTVAVAVAWAWAWIWVWVWY
20
AKCODEGAIAILKSMAMIMNMSNCNJNMOHORRISCTXVA
2
MENH
0
0
0
2
MTNE
11
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Who holds Congress in January 2027

A Democratic sweep opened Election Day at 75¢, slipped to 71¢ in the early afternoon, and climbed past 98¢ by 9 PM before reaching 100¢ at 12:02 AM ET. It began trading at 36¢ in December.

U.S. House H architectural icon 100¢0¢Kalshichecked 5:28 PM ETHouse control

Democratic control of the House opened Election Day at 93.6¢, touched its low of 92.9¢ at 12:51 PM, crossed 99¢ at 8:19 PM and reached 100¢ at 12:02 AM ET. It began trading at 70¢ in November 2024.

U.S. Senate S architectural icon 100¢0¢Kalshichecked 5:28 PM ETSenate control

Democratic control of the Senate opened Election Day at 76¢, touched its low of 71¢ at 12:40 PM, crossed 99¢ at 9:02 PM and reached 100¢ at 11:46 PM ET. It began trading at 26¢ in November 2024.

The four maps

FTP Race Signal by state FTP Race SignalThe band is the Kalshi party-market price and nothing else: under 65 cents a Toss-up, 65 to 82 a slight edge, 82 to 95 an edge, 95 and up a strong edge. Polling, fundraising and past results are shown beside it as context and do not move it.
U.S. House H architectural icon U.S. House 435 RACES
260SEATS WITH A D EDGE0 toss-ups · 175 with an R edge218
U.S. Senate S architectural icon U.S. Senate 35 RACES
56SEATS WITH A D EDGE0 toss-ups · 44 with an R edgeVice President (tiebreaker)51
Governor: G under a starred pedimentGovernor 36 RACES Attorney General: AG under a pediment with the scales of justiceAttorney General 30 RACES
Not on the ballotOn the ballot

Signal shifts

Last 30 days

November 8 · 3 shifts

November 7 · 1 shift

November 6 · 6 shifts

November 5 · 4 shifts

November 4 · 163 shifts

November 3 · 2 shifts

November 2 · 4 shifts

October 31 · 1 shift

October 29 · 1 shift

October 28 · 1 shift

  • Iowa Attorney GeneralAttorney General: AG under a pediment with the scales of justiceAttorney General Toss-up to Strong D edge

October 26 · 1 shift

  • Florida 6th DistrictU.S. House H architectural icon U.S. House(moved 3 times) R edge to Strong R edge

October 25 · 2 shifts

October 22 · 3 shifts

October 21 · 2 shifts

October 20 · 2 shifts

October 19 · 1 shift

October 16 · 1 shift

October 14 · 1 shift

October 13 · 1 shift

  • Delaware Attorney GeneralAttorney General: AG under a pediment with the scales of justiceAttorney General D edge to Strong D edge

October 12 · 8 shifts