Elections Intelligence

Gabe Evans

CO-8U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Lean D Competitive underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Evans is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Evans at 15¢ against Rutinel's 87¢, down 11¢ since August 3. The polling average has Rutinel ahead by 0.3 points, and Evans leads 1.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Evans · Republican contract
15.0¢
▼ 11.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Gabe Evans by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 34¢ · low 14¢Oct 12
Gabe EvansRepublican · incumbent
15.0¢
Manny RutinelDemocratic
87.0¢

33,026 traded · 21,174 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Evans v Rutinel

Metric by metric
Evans
Rutinel
15.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
87.0¢
$5.39M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$4.34M
$3.88M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$601.2K
48%
Latest pollMcLaughlin, Evans sponsor · Sep 17
46.3%
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Colorado 8th District
Latest poll
D+0.3

McLaughlin, Evans sponsor, September 17.

Prior result
R+0.7

2024 general election, won by Gabe Evans.

Fundraising
1.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.