Elections Intelligence

Warren Davidson

OH-8U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Likely R Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Davidson is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Davidson at 92.4¢ against Enoch's 10¢, up 3.4¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Davidson · Republican contract
92.4¢
▲ 3.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Warren Davidson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 92.4¢ · low 89¢Oct 12
Warren DavidsonRepublican · incumbent
92.4¢
Vanessa EnochDemocratic
10.0¢

1,324 traded · 1,144 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Davidson v Enoch

Metric by metric
Davidson
Enoch
92.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
10.0¢
$661.4K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$0
$529.9K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$3.0K
U.S. Representativesince 2016
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Ohio 8th District
Prior result
R+25.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Warren Davidson.

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+23.7 → R+15.6

Ohio had to redraw its map before 2026. The bipartisan Ohio Redistricting Commission voted unanimously for a new plan on Oct. 31, 2025, and it stays in place until the next census. It becomes somewhat less Republican, going from Trump +23.7 to Trump +15.6 in the 2024 presidential vote.

The record this is read from ↗

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.