Elections Intelligence

John Cowan

GA-11U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R to Likely R Likely to win
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What the Signal reads

Likely R

Cowan is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Cowan at 97.4¢ against Harden's 4.4¢, up 3.9¢ since August 3. The polling average is even, and Cowan leads 31.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Cowan · Republican contract
97.4¢
▲ 3.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on John Cowan by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.7¢ · low 93.1¢Oct 12
John CowanRepublican
97.4¢
Chris HardenDemocratic
4.4¢

21,388 traded · 8,916 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Cowan v Harden

Metric by metric
Cowan
Harden
97.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.4¢
$2.35M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$74.7K
$17.6K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$2.2K
40%
Latest pollMiller Consulting, D sponsor · Sep 11
42%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Georgia 11th District
Latest poll
Even

Miller Consulting, D sponsor, September 11.

Prior result
R+34.6

2024 general election, won by Barry Loudermilk.

Fundraising
31.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.