Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / MONTANA

Troy Downing

Republican · U.S. Representative, Montana 2nd District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY R KALSHI · 94.3¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · MONTANA 2ND DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTBrian J. Miller (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLikely RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 94.3¢ · D 9.9¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+31.982024 general election margin — verified against official results
111:1fundraising ratio v JAMES · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-22 · PERIOD 06-30
$2.13Mraised
$650.5Kcash on hand
committee not on file
· JAMES: $19.2K / $3.2K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled · L settled
Also on the ballot: Patrick McCracken (Libertarian)
COMPARE V MILLER ⇄