Bob Brooks · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Brooks is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Brooks at 87¢ against Mackenzie's 14¢, up 15¢ since August 3. The polling average has Brooks ahead by 4 points, and Mackenzie leads 1.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Brooks · Democratic contract

87.0¢

▲ 15.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Bob Brooks by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 87¢ · low 71¢Oct 12

Bob BrooksDemocratic

87.0¢

Ryan MackenzieRepublican · incumbent

14.0¢

341,593 traded · 149,135 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Brooks v Mackenzie

Metric by metric

Brooks

Mackenzie

87.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

14.0¢

$2.39M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.36M

$1.02M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$2.94M

45%

Latest pollFranklin & Marshall · Sep 20

40%

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 7th District

Polling average

D+4

Average of 2 pollsters, July 2 to September 20.

Prior result

R+1.0

2024 general election, won by Ryan Mackenzie.

Fundraising

1.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.