Elections Intelligence

Jenny Rae Le Roux

CA-47U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Roux is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Roux at 2.4¢ against Min's 98.5¢, down 0.2¢ since August 3. Min leads 8.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Roux · Republican contract
2.4¢
▼ 0.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jenny Rae Le Roux by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9¢ · low 2.4¢Oct 12
Jenny Rae Le RouxRepublican
2.4¢
Dave MinDemocratic · incumbent
98.5¢

6,459 traded · 4,095 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Roux v Min

Metric by metric
Roux
Min
2.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.5¢
$375.9K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$3.38M
$128.5K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.89M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

California 47th District
Prior result
D+2.9

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Dave Min.

Fundraising
8.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.