Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / ARIZONA

Elijah Crane

Republican · U.S. Representative, Arizona 2nd District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LEAN R KALSHI · 70¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · ARIZONA 2ND DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTJonathan Nez (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLean RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 70¢ · D 32¢
LATEST POLL · STALER+3<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/732200/dem-poll-shows-tightening-race-in-deep-red-territory/?unlock=QL98DIZZ54TZ6EJ5" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">GBAO ↗</a> (B) 06-25 · n=500 · 63 days old
STANDING · THIS SEAT
prior margin located but unverified — withheld until it verifies
3:1fundraising ratio v Nez · FEC period 07-01
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 07-01
$9.48Mraised
$2.84Mcash on hand
· Nez: $3.52M / $1.91M CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary07-21 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled · L settled
Also on the ballot: Curtis Goodwin (Libertarian)
COMPARE V NEZ ⇄