Elections Intelligence

Bale Dalton

FL-7U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean R Competitive underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Dalton is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Dalton at 34¢ against Elijah's 67¢, down 1¢ since August 3. Dalton leads 3.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Dalton · Democratic contract
34.0¢
▼ 1.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Bale Dalton by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 37¢ · low 32¢Oct 12
Bale DaltonDemocratic
34.0¢
Ryan ElijahRepublican
67.0¢

40,468 traded · 18,604 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Dalton v Elijah

Metric by metric
Dalton
Elijah
34.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
67.0¢
$1.38M
RaisedFEC, through July 29
$356.0K
$475.9K
Cash on handFEC, through July 29
$186.2K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Florida 7th District
Prior result
R+13.1

2024 general election, won by Cory Mills.

Fundraising
3.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.