Beth Van Duyne
TX-24What the Signal reads
Duyne is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Duyne at 93.6¢ against Burge's 7.5¢, up 5.6¢ since August 3. Duyne leads 12.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Beth Van Duyne by name.
27,792 traded · 17,404 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Duyne v Burge
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Texas 24th District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Beth Van Duyne.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+15.5 → R+16.1
Texas redrew its congressional map in the middle of the decade through HB 4, which Gov. Greg Abbott signed on Aug. 29, 2025. A federal court blocked the map, but the U.S. Supreme Court put that ruling on hold in December 2025 and reversed it in April 2026, so the new lines are in place for 2026. Its partisan lean barely changes (Trump +15.5 to Trump +16.1 in the 2024 presidential vote).