Raymond Smith
NC-3What the Signal reads
Likely R
Smith is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Smith at 17¢ against Murphy's 84¢, up 7.9¢ since August 3. The polling average has Murphy ahead by 5 points, and Murphy leads 10.5 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Smith · Democratic contract
17.0¢
▲ 7.9¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Raymond Smith by name.
4,176 traded · 2,924 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Smith v Murphy
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
North Carolina 3rd DistrictLatest poll
R+5
Tulchin Research, House Majority PAC sponsor, August 2.
Prior result
Murphy +54.8
Murphy won 77.4% to 22.6% over Gheorghe Cormos (Libertarian) (2024).
Fundraising
10.5 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.