Cynthia Wirth · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Wirth is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Wirth at 3.4¢ against Shreve's 97.9¢, down 1.6¢ since August 3. Shreve leads 65.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Wirth · Democratic contract

3.4¢

▼ 1.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Cynthia Wirth by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.7¢ · low 3.4¢Oct 12

Cynthia WirthDemocratic

3.4¢

Jefferson ShreveRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

2,319 traded · 1,632 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Wirth v Shreve

Metric by metric

Wirth

Shreve

3.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.9¢

$37.0K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.43M

$7.2K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.61M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Indiana 6th District

Prior result

R+32.2

2024 general election, won by Jefferson Shreve.

Fundraising

65.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.