Kat Cammack · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Cammack is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Cammack at 96.7¢ against Harp's 6.4¢, up 3.5¢ since August 3. Cammack leads 54.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Cammack · Republican contract

96.7¢

▲ 3.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Kat Cammack by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.6¢ · low 92.6¢Oct 12

Kat CammackRepublican · incumbent

96.7¢

Seth HarpDemocratic

6.4¢

5,748 traded · 2,985 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Cammack v Harp

Metric by metric

Cammack

Harp

96.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

6.4¢

$2.05M

RaisedFEC, through July 29

$37.8K

$877.0K

Cash on handFEC, through July 29

$3.0K

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Florida 3rd District

Prior result

R+23.2

2024 general election, won by Kat Cammack.

Fundraising

54.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.