PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / TEXAS

Justin Early

Democratic · House challenger

CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY R — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE KALSHI · 9.3¢ · CHECKED Aug 27

THE 2026 RACE · TEXAS 31ST DISTRICTFull race page →

OPPONENTJohn R. Carter (R)Incumbent

FTP RACE SIGNALLikely RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating

KALSHI · Aug 27R 94.6¢ · D 9.3¢

LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race

STANDING · THIS SEAT

1:11fundraising ratio v Carter · FEC period 06-30

CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30

$123.5Kraised

$17.4Kcash on hand

· Carter: $1.42M / $170.8K CoH

BALLOT & DATES

Primary03-03 · HELD

Runoff05-26 · HELD

GeneralNov 3, 2026

R settled · D settled