Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / FLORIDA

Mario Diaz-Balart

Republican · U.S. Representative, Florida 26th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY R KALSHI · 91¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · FLORIDA 26TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTNicole Locklin (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLikely RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 91¢ · D 13¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+41.842024 general election margin — verified against official results
6:1fundraising ratio v NICOLE · FEC period 07-29
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-24 · PERIOD 07-29
$2.06Mraised
$2.54Mcash on hand
committee not on file
· NICOLE: $347.7K / $198.6K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary08-18 · PASSED
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled · I settled
COMPARE V LOCKLIN ⇄