Utah 2nd District
DEFENDED SEAT
Also on the ballot: Robert Moesinger (I), Daniel Cottam (L) and Carlton Bowen (other).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market has run well past this seat's history — a 24-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 96¢ today.
Safe R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Prior result · Likely RR+23.77 in 2024.Market · Safe RR 96¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 96¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
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No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
R+23.77
Celeste Maloy (R)
58 — 34.23 · 2024 general election
def. Nathaniel E. Woodward (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
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PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle.