Elections Intelligence

Richard Hudson

NC-9U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Lean R to Likely R Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Hudson is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Hudson at 84¢ against Ojeda's 19¢, up 4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Hudson ahead by 6 points, and Hudson leads 1.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Hudson · Republican contract
84.0¢
▲ 4.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Richard Hudson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 84¢ · low 76¢Oct 12
Richard HudsonRepublican · incumbent
84.0¢
Richard N. Ojeda IIDemocratic
19.0¢

29,093 traded · 17,383 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hudson v Ojeda

Metric by metric
Hudson
Ojeda
84.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
19.0¢
$3.22M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.24M
$1.34M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$163.7K
46%
Latest pollLake Research, Sponsor unconfirmed (reported as a Democratic internal) · Sep 3
42%
U.S. Representativesince 2013
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

North Carolina 9th District
Latest poll
R+6

Lake Research, Sponsor unconfirmed (reported as a Democratic internal), September 3.

Prior result
R+18.6

2024 general election, won by Richard Hudson.

Fundraising
1.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.