Glenn Grothman · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Grothman is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Grothman at 92¢ against Smith's 10¢, up 1¢ since August 3. Grothman leads 5.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Grothman · Republican contract

92.0¢

▲ 1.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Glenn Grothman by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 96.9¢ · low 91¢Oct 12

Glenn GrothmanRepublican · incumbent

92.0¢

Brad SmithDemocratic

10.0¢

41,636 traded · 34,563 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Grothman v Smith

Metric by metric

Grothman

Smith

92.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

10.0¢

$929.0K

RaisedFEC, through July 22

$166.1K

$829.7K

Cash on handFEC, through July 22

$60.3K

U.S. Representativesince 2015

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Wisconsin 6th District

Prior result

R+22.6

2024 general election, won by Glenn Grothman.

Fundraising

5.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.