Pete Stauber · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Stauber is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Stauber at 88¢ against Swanson's 14¢, up 4¢ since August 3. Stauber leads 6.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Stauber · Republican contract

88.0¢

▲ 4.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Pete Stauber by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 90.9¢ · low 84¢Oct 12

Pete StauberRepublican · incumbent

88.0¢

Trina SwansonDemocratic

14.0¢

17,744 traded · 9,737 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Stauber v Swanson

Metric by metric

Stauber

Swanson

88.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

14.0¢

$2.00M

RaisedFEC, through July 22

$316.7K

$1.20M

Cash on handFEC, through July 22

$90.4K

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Minnesota 8th District

Prior result

R+16.1

2024 general election, won by Pete Stauber.

Fundraising

6.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.