Massachusetts Attorney General — Elections Intelligence

THE NOVEMBER FIELD · NEXT NOMINATING EVENT 09-01

Democratic — SETTLED

Andrea Joy Campbell Democratic · Nominee

Republican — SETTLED

Michael Walsh Republican · Nominee

View the primary field · 2 candidates

Andrea Joy Campbell Democratic Michael Walsh Republican

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 26-point Democratic hold in 2022, priced at 98.9¢ today.

Safe D

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Market · Safe DD 98.9¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Prior result · Safe DD+25.7 in 2022.

Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

D 98.9¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

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No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

D+25.7

Andrea Joy Campbell (D)

62.8 — 37.1 · 2022 general election

def. James R. McMahon, III (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

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Andrea Joy Campbell$866.4K

Michael Walsh$4.7K

PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 07-31 · STATE FILING

Cash on hand at the period end, not money raised.