Nicholas A. Langworthy · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Langworthy is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Langworthy at 97.5¢ against Gies's 2.2¢, up 7.5¢ since August 3. The polling average has Langworthy ahead by 21 points, and Langworthy leads 10.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Langworthy · Republican contract

97.5¢

▲ 7.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Nicholas A. Langworthy by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.5¢ · low 90¢Oct 12

Nicholas A. LangworthyRepublican · incumbent

97.5¢

Aaron GiesDemocratic

2.2¢

17,020 traded · 8,730 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Langworthy v Gies

Metric by metric

Langworthy

Gies

97.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.2¢

$2.33M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$227.2K

$2.48M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$17.8K

54%

Latest pollCygnal · Sep 21

33%

U.S. Representativesince 2023

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 23rd District

Latest poll

R+21

Cygnal, September 21.

Prior result

R+31.6

2024 general election, won by Nicholas A. Langworthy.

Fundraising

10.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.