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Thomas P. Tiffany

Governor G architectural icon OfficeGovernor Republican Competitive underdog
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT LEAN D KALSHI · 18¢ · CHECKED 1:29 AM ET
WHAT THE SIGNAL READS ON TIFFANY
THE SEAT THEY ARE IN

Lean D

Thomas P. Tiffany is a sitting U.S. Representative for Wisconsin's 7th district, running in the Wisconsin governor race, a seat the band rates Lean D. The market prices their contract at 18.0¢ against Crowley's 84.0¢, down 30.0¢ across 31 observation days; and the latest public poll has them 3.3 points behind.

MARKET · PARTY WINNER Kalshi ↗
Thomas P. Tiffany · Republican · GOVPARTYWI-26-R

18.0¢

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Thomas P. Tiffany by name.

▼ 30.0¢

since Jul 31

2026-07-3131 observation days · high 53.0¢ · low 16.0¢2026-09-21
Thomas P. Tiffany Republican
18.0¢

Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

David Crowley Democratic
84.0¢

Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 1,208,437 traded · 664,029 open

Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET

TIFFANY AGAINST CROWLEY · METRIC BY METRIC
Tiffany
Crowley
MARKETchecked 1:29 AM ET

18.0¢

84.0¢

WHAT THEY HOLD NOW

U.S. Representative

Wisconsin's 7th district · since 2025 · a different seat from the one they are running in

Holds no office

Open-seat candidate

POLL STANDINGMarquette · (A+) · Aug 20 · n=738 LV

47.5%

3.3 points behind

Latest of 65 public polls

50.8%

THE 2026 RACE · WISCONSIN GOVERNOR
LATEST POLLD+3.3Marquette ↗ (A+) 08-20 · n=738
COMPARE V CROWLEY ⇄