Tanya Lloyd · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Lloyd is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Lloyd at 5.7¢ against Cloud's 95.3¢, down 4.3¢ since August 3. Cloud leads 7.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Lloyd · Democratic contract

5.7¢

▼ 4.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Tanya Lloyd by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 12¢ · low 5.7¢Oct 12

Tanya LloydDemocratic

5.7¢

Michael CloudRepublican · incumbent

95.3¢

9,090 traded · 5,505 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Lloyd v Cloud

Metric by metric

Lloyd

Cloud

5.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

95.3¢

$139.8K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.06M

$11.3K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$271.1K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2018

The 2026 race

Texas 27th District

Prior result

R+32.1

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Michael Cloud.

Fundraising

7.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.