Phil Scott
VTWhat the Signal reads
Lean R
Scott is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Scott at 76¢ against Janoo's 24¢, down 10¢ since July 31. The polling average has Scott ahead by 2.3 points, and Janoo leads 1.7 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Scott · Republican contract
76.0¢
▼ 10.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Phil Scott by name.
532,182 traded · 311,540 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Scott v Janoo
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Vermont GovernorPolling average
R+2.3
Average of 3 pollsters, September 21 to October 4.
Prior result
R+51.6
2024 general election, won by Phil Scott.
Fundraising
1.7 to 1
Raised, through October 1.