Also on the ballot: John "Raghu" Giuffre (other), Shawn "Bu Laia" K. Hill (other), Clyde "Mac" McClain Lewman (other) and Calvert A. Williamson (other).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 26-point Democratic hold in 2022, priced at 98¢ today.
Safe D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Safe DD 98¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Prior result · Safe DD+25.9 in 2022.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKETBandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above