David Crowley
WIWhat the Signal reads
Lean D
Crowley is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Crowley at 81¢ against Tiffany's 20¢, up 27¢ since July 31. The polling average has Crowley ahead by 3.8 points, and Tiffany leads 3.5 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Crowley · Democratic contract
81.0¢
▲ 27.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on David Crowley by name.
1,331,347 traded · 701,007 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Crowley v Tiffany
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Wisconsin GovernorPolling average
D+3.8
Average of 3 pollsters, August 18 to October 1.
Prior result
D+3.4
2022 general election, won by Tony Evers.
Fundraising
3.5 to 1
Raised, through September 23.