Elections Intelligence

Jermaine Johnson

SCGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Likely R to Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Johnson is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Johnson at 6¢ against Wilson's 94.1¢, down 6¢ since July 31. The polling average has Wilson ahead by 10 points, and Wilson leads 6.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Johnson · Democratic contract
6.0¢
▼ 6.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jermaine Johnson by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 12¢ · low 5.6¢Oct 12
Jermaine JohnsonDemocratic
6.0¢
Alan WilsonRepublican
94.1¢

33,515 traded · 25,613 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Johnson v Wilson

Metric by metric
Johnson
Wilson
6.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
94.1¢
$751.4K
RaisedState filings, through June 30
$4.86M
$172.3K
Cash on handState filings, through June 30
$860.7K
35%
Latest pollResonance Media, R-leaning firm · Oct 3
45%
No office on file
Holds now
Attorney General of South Carolina

The 2026 race

South Carolina Governor
Polling average
R+10

Average of 2 pollsters, August 15 to October 3.

Prior result
R+17.4

2022 general election, won by Henry McMaster.

Fundraising
6.4 to 1

Raised, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.