Wyoming U.S. Senate — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 46-point Republican hold in 2020, priced at 99¢ today.

Safe R

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Market · Safe RR 99¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.Prior result · Safe RR+45.55 in 2020.

Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

R 99¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

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No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

R+45.55

Lummis, Cynthia M. (R)

72.58 — 27.03 · 2020 general election

def. David, Merav Ben (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

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Harriet M. Hageman$2.02M

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.