Angie Nixon
FLWhat the Signal reads
Likely R
Nixon is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Nixon at 9.3¢ against Moody's 91.2¢, down 5.7¢ since July 31. The polling average has Moody ahead by 7.2 points, and Moody leads 11.5 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Nixon · Democratic contract
9.3¢
▼ 5.7¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Angie Nixon by name.
1,341,082 traded · 1,061,867 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Nixon v Moody
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Florida U.S. Senate (Special)Polling average
R+7.2
Average of 7 pollsters, September 21 to October 7.
Prior result
R+16.4
2022 general election, won by Marco Rubio.
Fundraising
11.5 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.