Elections Intelligence

Tim Moore

NC-14U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Likely R Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Moore is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Moore at 90¢ against Womack's 11¢, up 2¢ since August 3. The polling average has Moore ahead by 8 points, and Moore leads 61.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Moore · Republican contract
90.0¢
▲ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Tim Moore by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 91.9¢ · low 88¢Oct 12
Tim MooreRepublican · incumbent
90.0¢
Lakesha WomackDemocratic
11.0¢

7,330 traded · 3,770 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Moore v Womack

Metric by metric
Moore
Womack
90.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
11.0¢
$1.54M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$24.9K
$1.58M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$-376
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

North Carolina 14th District
Latest poll
R+8

Ragnar Research Partners, Republican sponsor, March 12.

Prior result
R+16.1

2024 general election, won by Tim Moore.

Fundraising
61.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.