Elections Intelligence

Jerri Green

TNGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Safe RThe seat Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Green is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Green at 6.3¢ against Blackburn's 94.6¢, up 1.9¢ since July 31. The polling average has Blackburn ahead by 11 points, and Blackburn leads 15.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Green · Democratic contract
6.3¢
▲ 1.9¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jerri Green by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 7.8¢ · low 1.4¢Oct 12
Jerri GreenDemocratic
6.3¢
Marsha BlackburnRepublican
94.6¢

96,442 traded · 69,817 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Green v Blackburn

Metric by metric
Green
Blackburn
6.3¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
94.6¢
$698.2K
RaisedState filings, through July 27
$10.75M
$118.0K
Cash on handState filings, through July 27
$2.69M
36%
Latest pollTargetSmart · Sep 12
45%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Senatorsince 2019

The 2026 race

Tennessee Governor
Polling average
R+11

Average of 2 pollsters, August 26 to September 12.

Prior result
R+32.0

2022 general election, won by Bill Lee.

Fundraising
15.3 to 1

Raised, through July 27.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.