Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / IDAHO

Michael K. Simpson

Republican · U.S. Representative, Idaho 2nd District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE R KALSHI · 97.7¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · IDAHO 2ND DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTElinor Gilbreath (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALSafe RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 97.7¢ · D 9.4¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+30.412024 general election margin — verified against official results
10:1fundraising ratio v Gilbreath · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$1.12Mraised
$429.4Kcash on hand
· Gilbreath: $106.9K / $71.2K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary05-19 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled · I no primary
COMPARE V GILBREATH ⇄