North Carolina 13th District
DEFENDED SEAT
Also on the ballot: Steven Swinton (L).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 17-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 91.1¢ today.
Likely R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Prior result · Likely RR+17.29 in 2024.Market · Likely RR 91.1¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 91.1¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
—
No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
R+17.29
Brad Knott (R)
58.64 — 41.36 · 2024 general election
def. Frank Pierce (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
1.3 to 1
Paul Barringer$1.02M
Brad Knott$1.34M
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle. Parity — neither campaign leads by enough for fundraising to take a place on the spectrum.