Gabe Vasquez
NM-2What the Signal reads
Lean D
Vasquez is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Vasquez at 92.9¢ against Cunningham's 8.5¢, up 4.9¢ since July 31. The polling average has Vasquez ahead by 3.6 points, and Vasquez leads 2.5 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Vasquez · Democratic contract
92.9¢
▲ 4.9¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Gabe Vasquez by name.
52,308 traded · 35,550 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Vasquez v Cunningham
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
New Mexico 2nd DistrictPolling average
D+3.6
Average of 3 pollsters, April 28 to October 9.
Prior result
D+4.2
2024 general election, won by Gabe Vasquez.
Fundraising
2.5 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.