Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NEW MEXICO

Gabe Vasquez

Democratic · U.S. Representative, New Mexico 2nd District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LEAN D KALSHI · 91.9¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · NEW MEXICO 2ND DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTGreg Cunningham (R)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLean DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 91.9¢ · R 9.6¢
LATEST POLL · STALED+2<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/NRCC-Polling-Memo_-GOP-Edge-Emerges-in-New-Offensive-Battleground-Polling-1.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">NRCC Co/efficient ↗</a> (B) 05-08 · n=800 · 111 days old
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+4.162024 general election margin — verified against official results
3:1fundraising ratio v Cunningham · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$3.78Mraised
$2.38Mcash on hand
· Cunningham: $1.51M / $794.2K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled
COMPARE V CUNNINGHAM ⇄