Christian Vukasovich · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Vukasovich is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Vukasovich at 7.7¢ against Walberg's 92.9¢, down 1.9¢ since August 3. Walberg leads 31.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Vukasovich · Democratic contract

7.7¢

▼ 1.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Christian Vukasovich by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 12¢ · low 3.3¢Oct 12

Christian VukasovichDemocratic

7.7¢

Tim WalbergRepublican · incumbent

92.9¢

10,768 traded · 6,764 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Vukasovich v Walberg

Metric by metric

Vukasovich

Walberg

7.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

92.9¢

$55.8K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$1.74M

$13.3K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$993.8K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2011

The 2026 race

Michigan 5th District

Prior result

R+26.9

2024 general election, won by Tim Walberg.

Fundraising

31.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.