Victoria Broderick · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Broderick is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Broderick at 1.2¢ against DesJarlais's 97.9¢, down 5.8¢ since August 3. DesJarlais leads 6.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Broderick · Democratic contract

1.2¢

▼ 5.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Victoria Broderick by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.1¢ · low 1.2¢Oct 12

Victoria BroderickDemocratic

1.2¢

Scott DesJarlaisRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

7,664 traded · 6,083 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Broderick v DesJarlais

Metric by metric

Broderick

DesJarlais

1.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.9¢

$83.9K

RaisedFEC, through July 17 and September 30

$536.8K

$8.6K

Cash on handFEC, through July 17 and September 30

$495.1K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2011

The 2026 race

Tennessee 4th District

Prior result

R+43.2

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Scott DesJarlais.

Fundraising

6.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through September 30.