James T. Martin · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Martin is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Martin at 11¢ against Mast's 92.7¢, up 1.7¢ since August 3. Mast leads 7.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Martin · Democratic contract

11.0¢

▲ 1.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on James T. Martin by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 14¢ · low 9.3¢Oct 12

James T. MartinDemocratic

11.0¢

Brian J. MastRepublican · incumbent

92.7¢

6,672 traded · 2,926 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Martin v Mast

Metric by metric

Martin

Mast

11.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

92.7¢

$579.3K

RaisedFEC, through July 29

$4.31M

$188.0K

Cash on handFEC, through July 29

$2.93M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2017

The 2026 race

Florida 21st District

Prior result

R+23.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Brian J. Mast.

Fundraising

7.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.