Nevada 1st District
DEFENDED SEAT
Also on the ballot: Mark Robertson (R).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market has run well past this seat's history — a 8-point Democratic hold in 2024, priced at 91¢ today.
Likely D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Likely DD 91¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Prior result · Lean DD+7.51 in 2024.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
D 91¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
—
No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
D+7.51
Dina Titus (D)
51.99 — 44.49 · 2024 general election
def. Mark Robertson (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
1.2 to 1
Dina Titus$1.54M
Carrie Ann Buck$1.92M
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle. Parity — neither campaign leads by enough for fundraising to take a place on the spectrum.