Brenna Bird
IAWhat the Signal reads
Toss-up
Bird is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Bird at 56¢ against Willems's 45¢, down 4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Willems ahead by 2.5 points, and the two campaigns have raised about the same.
The market
Bird · Republican contract
56.0¢
▼ 4.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Brenna Bird by name.
33,419 traded · 10,241 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Bird v Willems
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Iowa Attorney GeneralLatest poll
D+2.5
Cygnal, Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation sponsor, September 11.
Prior result
R+1.7
2022 general election, won by Brenna Bird.
Fundraising
1 to 1
Raised, through July 14.