Bernadette Wilson
AKWhat the Signal reads
Lean D
Wilson is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Wilson at 23¢ against Kreiss-Tomkins's 79¢, down 30¢ since July 31. The polling average has Kreiss-Tomkins ahead by 7.3 points, and Kreiss-Tomkins leads 3.2 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Wilson · Republican contract
23.0¢
▼ 30.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Bernadette Wilson by name.
177,815 traded · 71,377 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Wilson v Kreiss-Tomkins
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Alaska GovernorPolling average
D+7.3
Average of 3 pollsters, September 11 to October 3.
Prior result
R+26.1
2022 general election, won by Mike Dunleavy / Nancy Dahlstrom.
Fundraising
3.2 to 1
Raised, through August 8.