Elections Intelligence

Dione Sims

TX-25U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R to Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Sims is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Sims at 4.3¢ against Williams's 97.5¢, down 5.7¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Sims · Democratic contract
4.3¢
▼ 5.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Dione Sims by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 12¢ · low 4.3¢Oct 12
Dione SimsDemocratic
4.3¢
Roger WilliamsRepublican · incumbent
97.5¢

4,049 traded · 2,787 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Sims v Williams

Metric by metric
Sims
Williams
4.3¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.5¢
No total for Dione Sims: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.42M
—
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.08M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2013

The 2026 race

Texas 25th District
Prior result
Williams +98.8

Williams won 99.4% to 0.6% over Chad Hagg (write-in) (2024).

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.