Utah 3rd District
DEFENDED SEAT
Also on the ballot: Adonis Hooslyn (I), Ayden Scott (I), Michael R. Stoddard (L) and Cassie Easley (other).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 33-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 95¢ today.
Safe R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Fundraising · Lean RR 30.59-to-1 in receipts.Market · Safe RR 95¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.Prior result · Safe RR+32.77 in 2024.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 95¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
—
No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
R+32.77
Mike Kennedy (R)
66.39 — 33.61 · 2024 general election
def. Glenn J. Wright (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
R 30.59 to 1
Kent S. Udell$47.5K
Celeste Maloy$1.45M
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle.