Marni von Wilpert
CA-48What the Signal reads
Likely D
Wilpert is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Wilpert at 92¢ against Desmond's 8.1¢, up 4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Wilpert ahead by 6.6 points, and the two campaigns have raised about the same.
The market
Wilpert · Democratic contract
92.0¢
▲ 4.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Marni von Wilpert by name.
29,832 traded · 19,189 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Wilpert v Desmond
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 48th DistrictPolling average
D+6.6
Average of 2 pollsters, July 14 to October 7.
Prior result
R+18.6
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Darrell Issa.
Fundraising
1 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.