PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / TEXAS

John R. Carter

Republican · U.S. Representative, Texas 31st District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03

INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY R KALSHI · 94.6¢ · CHECKED Aug 27

THE 2026 RACE · TEXAS 31ST DISTRICTFull race page →

OPPONENTJustin Early (D)Challenger

FTP RACE SIGNALLikely RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating

KALSHI · Aug 27R 94.6¢ · D 9.3¢

LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race

STANDING · THIS SEAT

+28.862024 general election margin — verified against official results

11:1fundraising ratio v Early · FEC period 06-30

CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30

$1.42Mraised

$170.8Kcash on hand

· Early: $123.5K / $17.4K CoH

BALLOT & DATES

Primary03-03 · HELD

Runoff05-26 · HELD

GeneralNov 3, 2026

R settled · D settled