Tom Cotton — Elections Intelligence

THE 2026 RACE · ARKANSAS U.S. SENATEFull race page →

OPPONENTHallie Shoffner (D)Challenger

FTP RACE SIGNALLean RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating

KALSHI · Aug 27R 93.4¢ · D 8.1¢

LATEST POLLD+3<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://talkbusiness.net/2026/08/poll-tight-race-for-us-senate-between-cotton-shoffner/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Hendrix College ↗</a> (D+) 08-20 · n=1,127

STANDING · THIS SEAT

—prior margin located but unverified — withheld until it verifies

3:1fundraising ratio v Shoffner · FEC period 06-30

CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30

$6.23Mraised

$9.93Mcash on hand

COTTON FOR SENATE, INC. ↗

· Shoffner: $2.27M / $863.6K CoH

BALLOT & DATES

Primary03-03 · HELD

Runoff03-31 · HELD

GeneralNov 3, 2026

R settled · D settled · L settled

Also on the ballot: Jeff Wadlin (Libertarian)

COMPARE V SHOFFNER ⇄