Elections Intelligence

Jeff Crank

CO-5U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Lean R Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Crank is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Crank at 75¢ against Killin's 25¢, up 5¢ since August 3. The polling average has Crank ahead by 3 points, and Killin leads 1.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Crank · Republican contract
75.0¢
▲ 5.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jeff Crank by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 79¢ · low 69¢Oct 12
Jeff CrankRepublican · incumbent
75.0¢
Jessica KillinDemocratic
25.0¢

88,209 traded · 77,338 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Crank v Killin

Metric by metric
Crank
Killin
75.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
25.0¢
$2.18M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$3.14M
$1.47M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.59M
45%
Latest pollGSG, Killin sponsor · Jul 21
44%
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Colorado 5th District
Latest poll
R+3

GSG, Killin sponsor, July 21.

Prior result
R+13.8

2024 general election, won by Jeff Crank.

Fundraising
1.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.