Michael J. LiPetri Jr. · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely D

LiPetri is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has LiPetri at 12¢ against Suozzi's 89¢, down 4¢ since July 31. Suozzi leads 3.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

LiPetri · Republican contract

12.0¢

▼ 4.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Michael J. LiPetri Jr. by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 26¢ · low 9.7¢Oct 12

Michael J. LiPetri Jr.Republican

12.0¢

Thomas R. SuozziDemocratic · incumbent

89.0¢

71,174 traded · 62,754 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

LiPetri v Suozzi

Metric by metric

LiPetri

Suozzi

12.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

89.0¢

$1.65M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$5.46M

$719.1K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$5.68M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2024

The 2026 race

New York 3rd District

Prior result

D+3.6

2024 general election, won by Thomas R. Suozzi.

Fundraising

3.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.