Scott Franklin · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Franklin is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Franklin at 93.4¢ against Gibson's 8.9¢, up 3.1¢ since August 3. Franklin leads 69.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Franklin · Republican contract

93.4¢

▲ 3.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Scott Franklin by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 96.5¢ · low 90.3¢Oct 12

Scott FranklinRepublican · incumbent

93.4¢

Curtis GibsonDemocratic

8.9¢

3,307 traded · 2,612 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Franklin v Gibson

Metric by metric

Franklin

Gibson

93.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

8.9¢

$850.0K

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and July 29

$12.2K

$960.8K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and July 29

$1.5K

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Florida 18th District

Prior result

R+30.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Scott Franklin.

Fundraising

69.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+29.4 → R+17.0

Florida redrew its congressional map in a 2026 special session. Gov. Ron DeSantis signed the new plan (HB 1-D) on May 4, 2026; it changed 21 of the state's 28 districts. It becomes much less Republican, going from Trump +29.4 to Trump +17 in the 2024 presidential vote.

The record this is read from ↗