Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / MONTANA

Aaron Flint

Republican · House challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT TOSS-UP KALSHI · 61¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · MONTANA 1ST DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTSam Forstag (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALToss-upAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 61¢ · D 43¢
LATEST POLLEVEN<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://x.com/JacobRubashkin/status/2071693706843799687?s=20" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Impact Research ↗</a> (B) 06-30 · n=500
STANDING · THIS SEAT
1:1fundraising ratio v KELLEY · FEC period 06-10
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-22 · PERIOD 06-10
$1.30Mraised
$502.2Kcash on hand
committee not on file
· KELLEY: $1.38M / $550.1K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled · L settled
Also on the ballot: Nick Sheedy (Libertarian)
COMPARE V FORSTAG ⇄