Elections Intelligence

Curtis Gibson

FL-18U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Gibson is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Gibson at 8.9¢ against Franklin's 93.4¢, up 3.4¢ since August 3. Franklin leads 69.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Gibson · Democratic contract
8.9¢
▲ 3.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Curtis Gibson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 12¢ · low 5.5¢Oct 12
Curtis GibsonDemocratic
8.9¢
Scott FranklinRepublican · incumbent
93.4¢

3,307 traded · 2,612 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Gibson v Franklin

Metric by metric
Gibson
Franklin
8.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
93.4¢
$12.2K
RaisedFEC, through June 30 and July 29
$850.0K
$1.5K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and July 29
$960.8K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Florida 18th District
Prior result
R+30.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Scott Franklin.

Fundraising
69.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.